There are 26 possible candidates but 5 serious ones. The runners with starting prices (SP) are
- Carwyn Jones 2 - 1 – The bookies favourite. A cleaver, likable guy.......But fundamentally lazy and this race is more like Aintree's Grand National than Ascot's King Stands Stakes.
- Edwina Hart 4 - 1 – Not officially running. Her odds reflect that as the only woman she will get the backing of the lady punters. Hard as nails, understands politics.....But from the Colonel Kurtz School of communication.
- Huw Lewis 13 - 2 – . Will struggle to get to course. If he makes it through could be a contender with the Party.......... But 19 labour AMs hate him.
- Andrew Davies 10 – 1 Thinks He has won it!!! ...........But sadly his fellow AMs lie ( to Him) and the unions will back a winner. Won't on this showing get on the ballot! Shame, would offer lots.
- Leighton Andrews 10 -1 Would make the best First Minister by miles - bright, thoughtful, hard working, innovative, progressive ........... But no one is going to nominate him because he talks with a squeaky voice!
What is the SP
The SP is the odds prevailing in the on-course fixed-odds betting market at the time a race begins. As is traditional, they have been set by a panel of 4 experts who are going to help me readjust the odds over the coming year.
NB If anyone correctly guesses the panel of experts between now and the election I promise on the soul of Neil Kinnock I will send them a bottle of penderyn.
Just email JamesKeirHardie@gmail.com
GOD BLESS WALES
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